Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.505130 0.584897 0.672398 0.775402 0.893234 1.023717 1.179059
2025-06-01 0.366000 0.472491 0.601549 0.768978 0.979927 1.236334 1.571062
2025-06-08 0.281870 0.394094 0.540347 0.743893 1.018697 1.375539 1.872586
2025-06-15 0.249346 0.371737 0.540800 0.789624 1.144419 1.629657 2.340623
2025-06-22 0.205192 0.324185 0.497397 0.765415 1.166617 1.741088 2.621145
2025-06-29 0.171606 0.285810 0.460131 0.742320 1.183555 1.841743 2.890749
2025-07-06 0.146080 0.255455 0.429863 0.724122 1.202900 1.944142 3.168576
2025-07-13 0.131910 0.241107 0.422253 0.739488 1.274387 2.130465 3.590367
2025-07-20 0.123897 0.235840 0.428379 0.777221 1.384767 2.386743 4.145242
2025-07-27 0.114679 0.226988 0.426976 0.801281 1.473595 2.614446 4.671867
2025-08-03 0.104352 0.214555 0.417520 0.809533 1.534922 2.800030 5.141804
2025-08-10 0.093741 0.200033 0.402331 0.805178 1.572388 2.946280 5.554023
2025-08-17 0.083302 0.184661 0.384158 0.793993 1.597683 3.075949 5.953805
2025-08-24 0.074648 0.171775 0.369320 0.787650 1.631637 3.224779 6.403095
2025-08-31 0.065218 0.155821 0.346269 0.761999 1.624837 3.296054 6.711989
2025-09-07 0.063520 0.156666 0.357976 0.808783 1.766911 3.663099 7.618110
2025-09-14 0.055931 0.142957 0.336977 0.784018 1.759579 3.736958 7.954757
2025-09-21 0.049382 0.130706 0.317612 0.760391 1.751787 3.808341 8.291094
2025-09-28 0.043978 0.120428 0.301393 0.741774 1.752532 3.896489 8.667957
2025-10-05 0.041385 0.116849 0.300269 0.757494 1.830373 4.151689 9.414227
2025-10-12 0.040362 0.117200 0.308541 0.796095 1.963403 4.534939 10.463218
2025-10-19 0.038568 0.115236 0.310905 0.820708 2.066373 4.860855 11.412706
2025-10-26 0.036056 0.110929 0.306883 0.829150 2.131973 5.109118 12.209629